|
Final Report ABSTRACT
This project will build a web-based tool to illustrate to local
officials, NIPC’s primary constituency, the water supply consequences of
land use decisions. It calculates the expected change in water demand
with development and relates it to expected availability. To do so we
are collaborating with Purdue University to build an extension into the
existing Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model now
available online. We have completed the conceptual framework for the
tool and have now begun coding to develop the actual website.
INTRODUCTION
Raising awareness among local decision-makers in northeastern
Illinois about the effects of land use on water supply remains crucially
important. In addition to the high ranking this issue received the
Northeastern Illinois Planning Commission’s (NIPC) Strategic Plan for
Water Resource Management published in 2001, concern remained strong
throughout NIPC’s larger Common Ground planning process, which
ended last year and resulted in the 2040 Framework Plan. This
plan calls for improved awareness of water quantity issues in the region
and stepped-up efforts to plan for the judicious use of available water
supplies. The current project attempts to illustrate to local officials,
NIPC’s primary constituency, the water resource consequences of land use
decisions by giving them a web-based model that calculates the expected
change in water demand with development and relates it to expected
availability. To do so we are collaborating with Purdue University to
build an extension into the existing Long-Term Hydrologic Impact
Assessment (L-THIA) model available online. L-THIA now computes expected
stormwater runoff and pollutant loadings given land use scenarios
provided through user input. The current project will add a water
quantity module to complement the water quality focus of the core L-THIA
model, allowing local government users to determine whether their
decisions are expected to be sustainable with regard to water supplies
and providing them options for reducing their “hydrologic footprint.”
NARRATIVE REPORT
Because of funding delays and the decision
to break the award into separate grants to NIPC, Purdue, and UIC, work
on this project essentially began during this reporting period, despite
the grant having been awarded in 2004. Following several meetings in
summer 2005 between Bernie Engel and his graduate student Dibyajyoti
Tripathy at Purdue, we decided (1) to approach the project by beginning
simply but building into L-THIA the ability to accept further
information as it became available; (2) to tailor water demand and
supply calculations to local government decision-makers and frame
decisions in terms of land use; and (3) to use as much of the existing
L-THIA and NIPC architecture as possible.
These presuppositions led us to define land uses for the web
interface based on a blend of existing L-THIA categories and the NIPC
"Paint Chip Palette" used in the regional population forecasting
process. Commercial and industrial water use varies widely by industry
type, but we elected to take an average based on the land use type
rather than industry type. As principal investigator, NIPC took the lead
in determining the inputs, calculation processes, and outputs of the L-THIA
extension, developing a computation flow chart to communicate the
results to the project team. NIPC also performed a strategic literature
review (still ongoing) to determine the appropriate values to use in the
computations. Several GIS studies were undertaken to establish certain
land use parameters for the region (e.g., net/gross density by lot size,
average landscaped area per residential parcel as a function of lot
size, etc.) In addition, NIPC worked with several municipalities to
collect water use information to use for benchmarking and verification.
NIPC also collected available GIS information from the Illinois State
Water Survey for use by Purdue. NIPC also coordinated with the previous
project manager, now at Hey and Associates, to determine detention basin
volume requirements and leakage rates to estimate the potential
contribution of these basins to groundwater recharge.
In January NIPC used the opportunity of its semi-annual Southern Lake
Michigan Regional Water Supply Consortium meeting to have a community of
experts review the concept and execution of the L-THIA extension.
Participants were able to examine a mockup of the website and review the
computations behind the interface. We requested that participants fill
out a survey form, the results of which indicated that they supported
the project on the whole and provided numerous valuable improvements. We
are now at the stage of coding the program to run the L-THIA water
supply module, and NIPC is working with Purdue to accomplish this. When
a beta version is ready (mid-summer), we intend to work with UIC to
evaluate the tool in a user group setting.
POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS/BENEFITS
The purpose of this project is to illustrate to local officials with
land use control authority the water demand effects of conversion from
one land use to another and to relate demand change to expected water
availability. As an applied project, the entire point is to influence
local government behavior.
KEYWORDS
Water Supply, web-based, land use change, water resources,
development
LAY SUMMARY
Raising awareness among local decision-makers in northeastern
Illinois about the effects of land use on water supply remains crucially
important. In addition to the high ranking this issue received the
Northeastern Illinois Planning Commission’s (NIPC) Strategic Plan for
Water Resource Management published in 2001, concern remained strong
throughout NIPC’s larger Common Ground planning process, which
ended last year and resulted in the 2040 Framework Plan. This
plan calls for improved awareness of water quantity issues in the region
and stepped-up efforts to plan for the judicious use of available water
supplies. The current project attempts to illustrate to local officials,
NIPC’s primary constituency, the water resource consequences of land use
decisions by giving them a web-based model that calculates the expected
change in water demand with development and relates it to expected
availability. To do so we are collaborating with Purdue University to
build an extension into the existing Long-Term Hydrologic Impact
Assessment (L-THIA) model available online. L-THIA now computes expected
stormwater runoff and pollutant loadings given land use scenarios
provided through user input. The current project will add a water
quantity module to complement the water quality focus of the core L-THIA
model, allowing local government users to determine whether their
decisions are expected to be sustainable with regard to water supplies
and providing them options for reducing their “hydrologic footprint.”
PARTNERSHIPS WITH OTHER INSTITUTIONS/INDIVIDUALS INITIATED OR
CONTINUED BY YOUR PROJECT
Purdue University, University of Illinois at Chicago
UNDERGRADUATE/GRADUATE NAMES AND DEGREES
None; however, Purdue's part of the project includes support for a
graduate student, and UIC may partly support a graduate student in the
upcoming months.
AWARDS AND HONORS
None directly related to this project. However, NIPC’s 2040
Framework Plan was selected as national plan of the year in 2006 by
the American Planning Association. One of the thirteen Implementation
Strategies in the 2040 Plan concerns improved planning for and
management of regional water supplies. |